FINANCIAL ANALYSIS AND INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
  1. SCOPE AND OBJECTIVES OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
At this point, financial analysis would be used in balancing the finances to attain the short and the long term goals. Having determined the costs, prices, and assets, financial analysis can be made with two major objectives: to provide an effective cash flow and to make the business as profitable as possible. Hence, the business is targeted to remain solvent.

 Planning the need for cash and other assets can be realised by a sound, realistic budget by determining the actual amount of money needed to open the business ( start-up costs ) and the amount needed to keep it open ( operating costs ).

The first step of building a sound financial plan is to devise a start-up budget. This budget will include one-time costs as acquisition of major equipment, personnel recruitment, the licenses / permits, etc.. ( Please refer to Section VI for more information )

An operating budget would be prepared close to the time of opening circus. This budget would reflect the priorities in terms of how the money is spent, how the expenses are incurred and how would these expenses be met ( income ). The operating budget would also include money to cover the first three to six months of operation.
 

The financial plan will include the loan applications filed, a capital equipment and supply list, balance sheet, pro-forma income projections ( profit or loss statement ) and pro-forma cash flow.

As a consequence, the projected profit margins and the period of justification of the project would be identified by the financial analysis, and therefore the economical feasibility of the project would be determined. If the prospective returns on the investment would seem appealing for the investors and / or the creditors, then the required funds for the project could be raised, allowing the entrepreneur to enter the business.

B ) ANALYSIS OF COST ESTIMATES AND BASIC ACCOUNTING STATEMENTS
 

The analysis of the estimates of the possible cost figures and the projected accounting statements depending on these estimates play an important role in the economical feasibility study. Therefore, projected accounting statements are proposed as the following:
 

INCOME PROJECTION STATEMENT
 

Annual Total

 

Total net sales (revenues) $ 2,304,000

Costs of sales (280,000)

Gross profit $ 2,024,000

Gross profit margin 87.8 %

Controllable expenses

Salaries/wages $ 434,400

Payroll expenses 125,000

Legal/accounting 3,000

Advertising 50,000

Office supplies 3,000

Total controllable expenses $ 615,400

 

Fixed expenses

Rent $ 20,000

Depreciation 20,000

Utilities 62,000

Insurance 100,000

License/permits 2,000

Loan payments 500,000

Total fixed expenses $ 704,000

Total expenses $ 1,319,400

 

Other Income (Loss) $ 173,226

 

Net profit (loss) $ 877,826

before taxes

 

Taxes (40%) $ 351,130

 

Net profit (loss) after $ 526,696

taxes

 

Annual Total $ 526,696

Annual Percentage 22.8 %

 

MONTHLY CASH FLOW PROJECTION

TOTAL

 

1. Cash on hand (beginning month) $ 50,000

2. Cash receipts

(a) Cash sales $206,436

(b) Collections from credit --

accounts

(c) Loan or other cash --

injections (specify)

3. Total cash receipts $206,436

4. Total cash available $256,436

(before cash out)

5. Cash paid out

(a) Purchases (merchandise) $ 8,980

(b) Gross wages (excludes withdrawals) 36,200

(c) Payroll expenses (taxes, etc.) 10,417

(d) Supplies (office and operating) 4,500

(e) Repairs and maintenance 696

(f) Advertising 4,167

(g) Car, delivery and travel 16,420

(h) Accounting and legal 350

(i) Rent 5,900

(j) Telephone 950

(k) Utilities 8,160

(l) Insurance 8,300

(m) Taxes (real estate, etc.) 3,880

(n) Interest 2,080

(o) Subtotal $111,000

(p) Loan principal payment 41,667

(r) Other start-up costs 1,100

6. Total cash paid out $153,767

7. Cash position (end of month) $102,669
 

 

BALANCE SHEET
As of January, 2002

Assets

Current assets

Cash $ 90,000

Petty cash $30,000

Accounts receivable $12,660

Short-term investment $ 440,000

Prepaid expenses $ 20,000

Long-term investment $ 0

Fixed assets

Land $ 787,500

Buildings $ 4,777,000

Equipment $ 850,000

Other assets

1. Small Circus Train $ 200,000

2. Animals $ 660,000
 

Total assets $ 7,860,160
 

Liabilities

Current Liabilities

Accounts payable $ 30,475

Notes payable $ 0

Interest payable $ 25,000

Taxes payable

Income tax $ 254,640

Sales tax (SBE) $ 47,500

Property tax $ 71,550

Payroll accrual $ 2,083

Long-term liabilities

Notes payable $ 4,500,000

Total liabilities $ 4,931,248
 

Net worth (owner equity) $ 1,166,192

Corporation

Capital stock $ 1,000,000

Retained earnings $ 762,720
 

Total net worth $ 2,928,912
 

Total liabilities and

total net worth $ 7,860,160

 

C ) PROJECT FINANCING AND FINANCIAL AND EFFICIENCY RATIOS

 The project will be financed by long-term bank loans. The initial installation costs and beginning operation costs require an approximate sum of 8 million dollars. This capital requirement will be justified by taking 5 million dollars, 10 years credit at approximately 10% interest rate. Almost 1 million dollars of the capital will be given by the founders while the remaining 2 million dollars will be justified from issued stocks of the company.

 Following financial ratios would be useful in evaluating the financial efficiency of the company.

 

Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities = 4.89

Working Capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities = $ 471,527

Working Capital Turnover Ratio = Net Sales / Working Capital = 4.89

Asset Turnover Ratio = Net Sales / Total Assets = 0.29

Return on Assets = Net Income / Total Assets = 0.049

 Current Ratio, Asset Turnover Ratio and Return on Assets seem to be normal since the business requires high start-up capital and fixed assets. However, working capital seems to be weak because there is high amount of interest expenses and since the business is in its first few operating years, the current liabilities are high.
 

D ) ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL EVALUATION UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
 

Within this scope, the business will amortise itself in approximately 5 years. And annual expected net profit after tax will be approximately 526,000 dollars. This yields 22.8% net profit margin. Our assumption for market interest rate for loans is 10%, meaning the minimum attractive rate of return in the market. Therefore, the business is profitable and feasible even in the uncertain conditions of our country.

 
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